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Daily FX Focus

25 July 2024

Important Risk Warning

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  • Currency conversion risk - the value of your foreign currency and MYR deposit will be subject to the risk of exchange rate fluctuation. If you choose to convert your foreign currency and MYR deposit to other currencies at an exchange rate that is less favourable than the exchange rate in which you made your original conversion to that foreign currency and MYR, you may suffer loss in principal.

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6492 / 0.6734  ⬇

AUD fell against the dollar yesterday despite USD weakness as AUD was undermined due to multiple headwinds. China’s weak economic prospects, sliding base metal prices, and weak Judo Bank flash PMI have weighed heavily on the AUD. AUDUSD fell 0.50% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.13 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.0779 / 1.0925  ➡

EUR ended lower against the dollar yesterday despite USD eased slightly. Eurozone’s composite PMI’s declined from 50.9 to 50.1, the services index fell from 52.8 to 51.9, while the manufacturing PMI edged down from 45.8 to 45.6. EURUSD fell 0.11% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.46 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2759 / 1.3049  ⬆

GBP rose slightly against the dollar yesterday after the upbeat manufacturing PMI in the UK climbed to 51.8 in July. But BoE officials refrain from endorsing rate cuts due to high inflation in the service sector after July services PMI rose to 52.4. GBPUSD rose 0.01% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 10.07 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.5845 / 0.6085  ⬇

NZD ended lower against the dollar yesterday despite a slight easing in the USD as the China’s dismal economic prospects and increased RBNZ rate-cut bets have weighed on the NZD. NZDUSD fell 0.47% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.62 level.

RMB

Support / Resistance

vs USD 7.2504 / 7.2897  ⬆

CNH rose against the dollar yesterday amid lower US yields and gold rally helped weigh on USD but CNH to stay weak due to easing, poor economy and geopolitics. While major Chinese banks cut deposit rates after reduction in lending rates. USDCNH fell 0.31% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.07 level. 

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3658 / 1.3888  ⬇

CAD weakened against the dollar yesterday, falling to a 3-month low as Bank of Canada lowered interest rates as expected. Preliminary estimate showed Canadian factory sales fell 2.6% in Jun. CAD losses were limited by a rise in oil prices. USDCAD rose 0.19% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.65 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 150.49 / 159.55  ⬆

JPY rose against the dollar yesterday, rising to its highest in more than two months. The yen also rose to its highest since mid-May against the EUR ahead of next week's BOJ meeting where interest rates and bond purchases will be in focus. USDJPY fell 1.10% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 5.08 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3376 / 1.3507  ⬆

SGD ended stronger against the US dollar yesterday as the USD eased slightly and yield on shorterdated US treasuries fell. The MAS is likely to maintain monetary policy tight and it expects core inflation to reach around 2% in 2025. USDSGD fell 0.16% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.81 level.

MYR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 4.6490 / 4.7046  ⬆

It was a lacklustre day yesterday as USDMYR was broadly unchanged and remain stable along with the rest of Asia currencies. USDMYR started the day at around 4.6750 levels and consolidated in a narrow range throughout the day before it eventually ended the session at 4.67 levels. Overnight, broad USD receded modestly on the back of further advance in the JPY and mixed US yields across the curve. USDMYR opened a tad softer below 4.67 level, focus is turning to the key macro headlineGDP data to be released tonight. 

⬆ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against USD has remained sideways

➡ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the base currency

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the base currency

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